Mendenhall Postdoctoral Fellowship Opportunity 21-20: Rapid, robust characterization of earthquake uncertainties to unlock advanced monitoring, forecasting, and research
Earthquake monitoring forms the foundation of earthquake forecasting and research. Although overall earthquake monitoring capabilities have become increasingly sophisticated in the past decades, methods of uncertainty quantification, key to earthquake forecasting and other applications, have remained primitive. Currently, uncertainties in fundamental earthquake source parameters, such as location and magnitude, are not standardized and are usually derived only from misfit within a particular assumed model (also known as “model errors”) or from ad hoc, outdated approximations. Characterizations like these ignore significant sources of uncertainty and bias (such as from discrepancies between different magnitude types or errors in the velocity model) and often dramatically underestimate the total uncertainty. Current shortcomings in uncertainty quantification significantly impair impactful products that build upon earthquake monitoring and the associated catalogs, and perhaps less obviously, earthquake monitoring itself.
We seek applicants with strong quantitative skills. Experience in seismology and/or statistics highly beneficial.
Full project details and contact information: https://www.usgs.gov/centers/mendenhall-research-fellowship-program/21-20-rapid-robust-quantification-earthquake Proposed Duty Station: Golden, Colorado or Moffett Field, California Research Advisors: David Shelly, Andrea Llenos, William Yeck, Morgan Moschetti, Paul Earle, Sarah Minson, and Jeanne Hardebeck Application deadline is November 1, 2022. Potential applicants are strongly encouraged to contact the Research Advisors early and to work with them to develop a suitable proposal. Please see https://www.usgs.gov/centers/mendenhall for more information on the Mendenhall program and how to apply.
